Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 454
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Minnesota
Northwest Wisconsin
Lake Superior
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 935 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue increasing in
coverage and intensity this evening and overnight. Initial
supercells will be capable of producing very large hail up to around
2-2.5 inches in diameter. A bowing cluster may eventually develop
and pose more of a severe/damaging wind threat, with gusts
potentially up to 65-75 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 110 miles north of Eau
Claire WI to 60 miles southwest of Eau Claire WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 452...WW 453...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28035.
...Gleason
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 454
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Minnesota
Northwest Wisconsin
Lake Superior
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 935 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue increasing in
coverage and intensity this evening and overnight. Initial
supercells will be capable of producing very large hail up to around
2-2.5 inches in diameter. A bowing cluster may eventually develop
and pose more of a severe/damaging wind threat, with gusts
potentially up to 65-75 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 110 miles north of Eau
Claire WI to 60 miles southwest of Eau Claire WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 452...WW 453...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 454 SEVERE TSTM MN WI LS 250235Z - 250900Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
110N EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/ - 60SW EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /36SE DLH - 43WNW ODI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
LAT...LON 46448948 44249042 44249426 46449348
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 454 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 454
VALID 250620Z - 250740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW RST
TO 40 ENE MSP TO 35 N RHI.
..MOSIER..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...MPX...DLH...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 454
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC157-250740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WABASHA
$$
WIC011-017-019-033-035-053-091-093-099-107-109-119-121-250740-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO CHIPPEWA CLARK
DUNN EAU CLAIRE JACKSON
PEPIN PIERCE PRICE
RUSK ST. CROIX TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 454
VALID 250445Z - 250540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE STC
TO 30 SSE DLH.
..KERR..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...MPX...DLH...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 454
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-019-025-037-049-053-059-079-123-131-139-141-157-163-171-
250540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA CARVER CHISAGO
DAKOTA GOODHUE HENNEPIN
ISANTI LE SUEUR RAMSEY
RICE SCOTT SHERBURNE
WABASHA WASHINGTON WRIGHT
$$
WIC003-005-007-011-013-017-019-031-033-035-051-053-091-093-095-
099-107-109-113-119-121-129-250540-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
BUFFALO BURNETT CHIPPEWA
CLARK DOUGLAS DUNN
EAU CLAIRE IRON JACKSON
PEPIN PIERCE POLK
PRICE RUSK ST. CROIX
SAWYER TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
WASHBURN
$$
LSZ121-145-146-147-148-150-250540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHEQUAMEGON BAY-BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI
PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI
OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI
OUTER APOSTLE ISLANDS BEYOND 5 NM FROM MAINLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 454
VALID 250330Z - 250440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...MPX...DLH...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 454
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-009-019-025-037-049-053-059-065-079-095-115-123-131-139-
141-157-163-171-250440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BENTON CARVER
CHISAGO DAKOTA GOODHUE
HENNEPIN ISANTI KANABEC
LE SUEUR MILLE LACS PINE
RAMSEY RICE SCOTT
SHERBURNE WABASHA WASHINGTON
WRIGHT
$$
WIC003-005-007-011-013-017-019-031-033-035-051-053-091-093-095-
099-107-109-113-119-121-129-250440-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
BUFFALO BURNETT CHIPPEWA
CLARK DOUGLAS DUNN
EAU CLAIRE IRON JACKSON
PEPIN PIERCE POLK
PRICE RUSK ST. CROIX
SAWYER TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
WASHBURN
$$
LSZ121-145-146-147-148-150-250440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHEQUAMEGON BAY-BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI
PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI
OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI
OUTER APOSTLE ISLANDS BEYOND 5 NM FROM MAINLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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