Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 455
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and central Lower Michigan
Central and eastern Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday morning from 1255 AM until 800 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...AN increasingly organized complex of thunderstorms should
move southeastward across the watch area, including central Lake
Michigan, with potential for damaging to severe gusts and occasional
large hail through at least sunrise.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles southwest of
Rhinelander WI to 30 miles north northeast of Lansing MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 454...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30035.
...Edwards
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 455
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and central Lower Michigan
Central and eastern Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday morning from 1255 AM until 800 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...AN increasingly organized complex of thunderstorms should
move southeastward across the watch area, including central Lake
Michigan, with potential for damaging to severe gusts and occasional
large hail through at least sunrise.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles southwest of
Rhinelander WI to 30 miles north northeast of Lansing MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 454...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 455 SEVERE TSTM MI WI LM 250555Z - 251300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25SW RHI/RHINELANDER WI/ - 30NNE LAN/LANSING MI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /22SW RHI - 24SSW MBS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30035.
LAT...LON 46538983 44348435 42028435 44228983
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 455 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 455
VALID 251015Z - 251140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW OSH
TO 45 ESE MTW TO 25 NNW MBS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1404
..MOSIER..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...GRR...APX...ARX...GRB...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 455
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC005-015-025-037-045-057-065-067-073-075-077-081-107-117-121-
123-127-139-159-251140-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGAN BARRY CALHOUN
CLINTON EATON GRATIOT
INGHAM IONIA ISABELLA
JACKSON KALAMAZOO KENT
MECOSTA MONTCALM MUSKEGON
NEWAYGO OCEANA OTTAWA
VAN BUREN
$$
WIC027-039-089-117-131-251140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DODGE FOND DU LAC OZAUKEE
SHEBOYGAN WASHINGTON
$$
LMZ643-644-669-671-844-845-846-847-848-870-872-874-876-878-
251140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5NM OFFSHORE
TO MID LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI
SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 455
VALID 250820Z - 250940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW CWA
TO 15 N GRB TO 15 S ESC.
..MOSIER..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...GRR...APX...ARX...GRB...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 455
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC005-009-015-019-035-037-039-045-055-057-065-067-073-079-081-
085-089-101-105-107-113-117-121-123-127-133-139-143-165-
250940-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGAN ANTRIM BARRY
BENZIE CLARE CLINTON
CRAWFORD EATON GRAND TRAVERSE
GRATIOT INGHAM IONIA
ISABELLA KALKASKA KENT
LAKE LEELANAU MANISTEE
MASON MECOSTA MISSAUKEE
MONTCALM MUSKEGON NEWAYGO
OCEANA OSCEOLA OTTAWA
ROSCOMMON WEXFORD
$$
WIC001-009-015-021-027-029-039-047-057-061-071-077-087-089-097-
115-117-131-135-137-139-141-250940-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN CALUMET
COLUMBIA DODGE DOOR
FOND DU LAC GREEN LAKE JUNEAU
KEWAUNEE MANITOWOC MARQUETTE
OUTAGAMIE OZAUKEE PORTAGE
SHAWANO SHEBOYGAN WASHINGTON
WAUPACA WAUSHARA WINNEBAGO
WOOD
$$
LMZ323-344-345-346-364-366-521-522-541-542-543-563-565-567-643-
644-669-671-846-847-848-849-868-870-872-874-250940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM CHARLEVOIX TO POINT BETSIE MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM POINT BETSIE TO MANISTEE MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI
TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI 5NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5NM OFFSHORE
TO MID LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
