Storm Prediction Center Tornado Watch 705

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	High	Moderate

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 705
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   130 PM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Western Arkansas
     Extreme southeast Kansas
     Southwest Missouri

   * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
     900 PM CST.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will affect the watch
   area this afternoon and evening.  Strong winds aloft and a
   warm/moist environment will pose a risk of severe storms capable of
   damaging winds and a few tornadoes.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast of Joplin MO
   to 40 miles west southwest of Hot Springs AR. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 704...

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
   storm motion vector 24035.

   ...Hart

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	High	Moderate

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

   SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 705
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   130 PM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Western Arkansas
     Extreme southeast Kansas
     Southwest Missouri

   * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
     900 PM CST.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will affect the watch
   area this afternoon and evening.  Strong winds aloft and a
   warm/moist environment will pose a risk of severe storms capable of
   damaging winds and a few tornadoes.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast of Joplin MO
   to 40 miles west southwest of Hot Springs AR. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 704...

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
   storm motion vector 24035.

   ...Hart

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	High	Moderate

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   WOUS64 KWNS 041929
   WOU5

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 705
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   130 PM CST MON NOV 4 2024

   TORNADO WATCH 705 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-097-101-113-115-127-131-143-
   149-050300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0705.241104T1930Z-241105T0300Z/

   AR 
   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BENTON               BOONE               CARROLL             
   CRAWFORD             FRANKLIN            JOHNSON             
   LOGAN                MADISON             MONTGOMERY          
   NEWTON               POLK                POPE                
   SCOTT                SEBASTIAN           WASHINGTON          
   YELL                 


   KSC021-037-050300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0705.241104T1930Z-241105T0300Z/

   KS 
   .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   CHEROKEE             CRAWFORD            


   MOC009-011-039-043-057-077-097-109-119-145-167-209-213-050300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0705.241104T1930Z-241105T0300Z/

   MO 
   .    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BARRY                BARTON              CEDAR               
   CHRISTIAN            DADE                GREENE              
   JASPER               LAWRENCE            MCDONALD            
   NEWTON               POLK                STONE               
   TANEY                


   ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LZK...

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	High	Moderate

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

   SAW5 
   WW 705 TORNADO AR KS MO 041930Z - 050300Z
   AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   60NNE JLN/JOPLIN MO/ - 40WSW HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /27SE BUM - 47NNE TXK/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

   LAT...LON 37959334 34249305 34249445 37959481

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU5.

Watch 705 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 705

VALID 050120Z - 050240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW FSM
TO 25 SSE SGF TO 25 NNE SGF.

..WEINMAN..11/05/24

ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC005-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-089-097-101-109-113-115-127-
129-131-143-149-050240-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAXTER		     BOONE		 CARROLL	     
CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 JOHNSON	     
LOGAN		     MADISON		 MARION 	     
MONTGOMERY	     NEWTON		 PIKE		     
POLK		     POPE		 SCOTT		     
SEARCY		     SEBASTIAN		 WASHINGTON	     
YELL		     
$$


MOC043-067-091-153-209-213-215-225-229-050240-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHRISTIAN	     DOUGLAS		 HOWELL 	     
OZARK		     STONE		 TANEY		     
TEXAS		     WEBSTER		 WRIGHT 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 705

VALID 050020Z - 050140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW FYV
TO 30 NNE FYV TO 40 SSE SZL.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2210

..WEINMAN..11/05/24

ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC009-015-033-047-071-083-087-089-097-101-109-113-115-127-129-
131-143-149-050140-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOONE		     CARROLL		 CRAWFORD	     
FRANKLIN	     JOHNSON		 LOGAN		     
MADISON 	     MARION		 MONTGOMERY	     
NEWTON		     PIKE		 POLK		     
POPE		     SCOTT		 SEARCY 	     
SEBASTIAN	     WASHINGTON 	 YELL		     
$$


MOC009-043-067-077-109-153-167-209-213-050140-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARRY		     CHRISTIAN		 DOUGLAS	     
GREENE		     LAWRENCE		 OZARK		     
POLK		     STONE		 TANEY		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 705

VALID 042145Z - 042240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW GMJ TO
55 ENE CNU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2207

..MOORE..11/04/24

ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-097-101-113-115-127-131-143-
149-042240-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON		     BOONE		 CARROLL	     
CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 JOHNSON	     
LOGAN		     MADISON		 MONTGOMERY	     
NEWTON		     POLK		 POPE		     
SCOTT		     SEBASTIAN		 WASHINGTON	     
YELL		     
$$


MOC009-011-039-043-057-077-097-109-119-145-167-209-213-042240-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARRY		     BARTON		 CEDAR		     
CHRISTIAN	     DADE		 GREENE 	     
JASPER		     LAWRENCE		 MCDONALD	     
NEWTON		     POLK		 STONE		     
TANEY		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 705

VALID 042050Z - 042140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..MOORE..11/04/24

ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 705 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-097-101-113-115-127-131-143-
149-042140-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON		     BOONE		 CARROLL	     
CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 JOHNSON	     
LOGAN		     MADISON		 MONTGOMERY	     
NEWTON		     POLK		 POPE		     
SCOTT		     SEBASTIAN		 WASHINGTON	     
YELL		     
$$


KSC021-037-042140-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEROKEE	     CRAWFORD		 
$$


MOC009-011-039-043-057-077-097-109-119-145-167-209-213-042140-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARRY		     BARTON		 CEDAR		     
CHRISTIAN	     DADE		 GREENE 	     
JASPER		     LAWRENCE		 MCDONALD	     
NEWTON		     POLK		 STONE		     
TANEY		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	High	Moderate

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes	High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes	Mod (40%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events	High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots	Low (20%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events	Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches	Low (20%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (90%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.