Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 707
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West-Central Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 520 PM until
1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have formed early this evening along a
boundary, and will move generally east-northeastward over the next
several hours. Scattered large hail around 1-1.75 inches in diameter
should be the main threat with this activity, although some severe
wind gusts up to 60-70 mph may also occur. A tornado also appears
possible with any sustained supercell.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Abilene
TX to 80 miles south southwest of San Angelo TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Gleason
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 707
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West-Central Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 520 PM until
1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have formed early this evening along a
boundary, and will move generally east-northeastward over the next
several hours. Scattered large hail around 1-1.75 inches in diameter
should be the main threat with this activity, although some severe
wind gusts up to 60-70 mph may also occur. A tornado also appears
possible with any sustained supercell.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Abilene
TX to 80 miles south southwest of San Angelo TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 707 SEVERE TSTM TX 072320Z - 080500Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30N ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 80SSW SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /24NNE ABI - 58NNW DLF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 32849899 30300034 30300168 32840037
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 707 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 707
VALID 080425Z - 080500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE 6R6
TO 35 WSW ABI TO 30 N ABI.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 707 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
08/05Z.
..KERR..11/08/24
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 707
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-235-253-399-413-417-435-441-451-
080500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT
IRION JONES RUNNELS
SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD SUTTON
TAYLOR TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 707
VALID 080330Z - 080440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE BGS TO
35 WSW ABI TO 50 NNW ABI.
..THORNTON..11/08/24
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 707
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-235-253-399-413-417-435-441-451-
080440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT
IRION JONES RUNNELS
SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD SUTTON
TAYLOR TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 707
VALID 080235Z - 080340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE BGS TO
35 WSW ABI TO 50 NNW ABI.
..THORNTON..11/08/24
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 707
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-235-253-399-413-417-435-441-451-
080340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT
IRION JONES RUNNELS
SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD SUTTON
TAYLOR TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 707
VALID 080140Z - 080240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE BGS TO
35 WSW ABI TO 50 NNW ABI.
..THORNTON..11/08/24
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 707
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-083-095-105-235-253-399-413-417-435-441-451-080240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CONCHO CROCKETT IRION
JONES RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD SUTTON TAYLOR
TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 707
VALID 080030Z - 080140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..11/08/24
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 707
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-083-095-105-151-235-253-353-399-413-417-435-441-451-
080140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CONCHO CROCKETT FISHER
IRION JONES NOLAN
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD
SUTTON TAYLOR TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.