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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 285
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Southwest Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1145 AM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms that are forming over eastern Arkansas will
intensify this afternoon and spread eastward across the watch area.
Locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible with the stronger
cells.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles south
southwest of Jonesboro AR to 30 miles south southeast of Clarksville
TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 284...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 285 SEVERE TSTM AR KY MO MS TN 221645Z - 230000Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40SSW JBR/JONESBORO AR/ - 30SSE CKV/CLARKSVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /48WNW MEM - 26W BNA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 36099092 37008721 35418721 34509092
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 285 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 285
VALID 222150Z - 222240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE UOX
TO 15 SSW MKL TO 20 WNW BNA.
..SQUITIERI..05/22/24
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 285
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC107-222240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PHILLIPS
$$
KYC033-047-107-143-177-221-222240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CHRISTIAN HOPKINS
LYON MUHLENBERG TRIGG
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-057-071-081-093-107-115-117-119-137-139-141-
143-145-222240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE MARSHALL PANOLA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS QUITMAN
TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-081-101-109-222240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HICKMAN LEWIS
MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 285
VALID 222100Z - 222240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW JBR
TO 15 NNW MKL TO 20 SSW PAH.
..SQUITIERI..05/22/24
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 285
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC035-037-077-107-123-222240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE
PHILLIPS ST. FRANCIS
$$
KYC033-035-047-083-105-107-143-157-177-219-221-222240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
GRAVES HICKMAN HOPKINS
LYON MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-057-071-081-093-107-115-117-119-137-139-141-
143-145-222240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE MARSHALL PANOLA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS QUITMAN
TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC005-017-023-039-043-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-081-083-085-
101-109-113-125-135-157-161-167-183-222240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
DECATUR DICKSON FAYETTE
GIBSON HARDEMAN HARDIN
HAYWOOD HENDERSON HENRY
HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
LEWIS MCNAIRY MADISON
MONTGOMERY PERRY SHELBY
STEWART TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 285
VALID 222005Z - 222140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..05/22/24
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 285
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC031-035-037-077-093-111-123-222140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
LEE MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
KYC035-039-047-075-083-105-157-219-221-222140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
MARSHALL TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC003-009-033-093-137-139-143-222140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON DESOTO
MARSHALL TATE TIPPAH
TUNICA
$$
MOC133-155-222140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-043-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-081-
083-085-095-097-101-109-113-125-131-135-157-161-167-183-
222140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DICKSON
DYER FAYETTE GIBSON
HARDEMAN HARDIN HAYWOOD
HENDERSON HENRY HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAKE
LAUDERDALE LEWIS MCNAIRY
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
PERRY SHELBY STEWART
TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 285
VALID 221730Z - 221840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOSIER..05/22/24
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 285
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-037-055-077-093-111-123-221840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS GREENE LEE
MISSISSIPPI POINSETT ST. FRANCIS
$$
KYC035-039-047-075-083-105-157-219-221-221840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
MARSHALL TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC003-009-033-093-137-139-143-221840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON DESOTO
MARSHALL TATE TIPPAH
TUNICA
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-221840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-043-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-081-
083-085-095-097-101-109-113-125-131-135-157-161-167-183-
221840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DICKSON
DYER FAYETTE GIBSON
HARDEMAN HARDIN HAYWOOD
HENDERSON HENRY HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAKE
LAUDERDALE LEWIS MCNAIRY
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
PERRY SHELBY STEWART
TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.