Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 463

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Very Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL3

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 463
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   410 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Northwestern Arkansas
     Southeastern Kansas
     Southwestern Missouri
     Northeastern Oklahoma

   * Effective this Wednesday morning from 410 AM until 1100 AM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Merging areas of strong-severe thunderstorms -- already
   with a history of severe wind in parts of NE, northeastern KS and
   northwestern MO -- should evolve into a new complex and move
   southeastward over the 4-state area of the western Ozarks.  Activity
   may reach the Arkansas River Valley between Tulsa and the Ft. Smith
   area while still potentially severe later this morning.  Damaging
   wind will remain the primary threat, with isolated large hail
   possible predominantly ahead of the main complex.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
   statute miles either side of a line from 20 miles northwest of
   Chanute KS to 15 miles south southwest of Russellville AR. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 461...WW 462...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
   32040.

   ...Edwards

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Very Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

   SEL3

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 463
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   410 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Northwestern Arkansas
     Southeastern Kansas
     Southwestern Missouri
     Northeastern Oklahoma

   * Effective this Wednesday morning from 410 AM until 1100 AM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Merging areas of strong-severe thunderstorms -- already
   with a history of severe wind in parts of NE, northeastern KS and
   northwestern MO -- should evolve into a new complex and move
   southeastward over the 4-state area of the western Ozarks.  Activity
   may reach the Arkansas River Valley between Tulsa and the Ft. Smith
   area while still potentially severe later this morning.  Damaging
   wind will remain the primary threat, with isolated large hail
   possible predominantly ahead of the main complex.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
   statute miles either side of a line from 20 miles northwest of
   Chanute KS to 15 miles south southwest of Russellville AR. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 461...WW 462...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
   32040.

   ...Edwards

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Very Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   WOUS64 KWNS 260909
   WOU3

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 463
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   410 AM CDT WED JUN 26 2024

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 463 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-089-101-115-127-129-131-
   143-261600-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0463.240626T0910Z-240626T1600Z/

   AR 
   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BAXTER               BENTON              BOONE               
   CARROLL              CRAWFORD            FRANKLIN            
   JOHNSON              LOGAN               MADISON             
   MARION               NEWTON              POPE                
   SCOTT                SEARCY              SEBASTIAN           
   WASHINGTON           


   KSC001-011-015-017-019-021-037-049-073-099-115-125-133-205-207-
   261600-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0463.240626T0910Z-240626T1600Z/

   KS 
   .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ALLEN                BOURBON             BUTLER              
   CHASE                CHAUTAUQUA          CHEROKEE            
   CRAWFORD             ELK                 GREENWOOD           
   LABETTE              MARION              MONTGOMERY          
   NEOSHO               WILSON              WOODSON             


   MOC009-011-097-109-119-145-209-217-261600-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0463.240626T0910Z-240626T1600Z/

   MO 
   .    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BARRY                BARTON              JASPER              
   LAWRENCE             MCDONALD            NEWTON              
   STONE                VERNON              


   OKC001-021-035-041-061-079-091-097-101-105-111-113-115-131-135-
   143-145-147-261600-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0463.240626T0910Z-240626T1600Z/

   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ADAIR                CHEROKEE            CRAIG               
   DELAWARE             HASKELL             LE FLORE            
   MAYES                MCINTOSH            MUSKOGEE            
   NOWATA               OKMULGEE            OSAGE               
   OTTAWA               ROGERS              SEQUOYAH            
   TULSA                WAGONER             WASHINGTON          


   ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...ICT...

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Very Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

   SAW3 
   WW 463 SEVERE TSTM AR KS MO OK 260910Z - 261600Z
   AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
   20NW CNU/CHANUTE KS/ - 15SSW RUE/RUSSELLVILLE AR/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM EITHER SIDE /51NNW OSW - 55WNW LIT/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32040.

   LAT...LON 38689457 35879206 34229430 37059689

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU3.

Watch 463 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 463

VALID 261215Z - 261340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW EMP
TO 15 ESE GMJ TO 30 SE SGF.

..MOSIER..06/26/24

ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...ICT...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 463 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-089-101-115-127-129-131-
143-261340-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAXTER		     BENTON		 BOONE		     
CARROLL 	     CRAWFORD		 FRANKLIN	     
JOHNSON 	     LOGAN		 MADISON	     
MARION		     NEWTON		 POPE		     
SCOTT		     SEARCY		 SEBASTIAN	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


KSC015-019-049-125-261340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BUTLER		     CHAUTAUQUA 	 ELK		     
MONTGOMERY	     
$$


MOC209-261340-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

STONE		     
$$


OKC001-021-035-041-061-079-091-097-101-105-111-113-131-135-143-
145-147-261340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     CHEROKEE		 CRAIG		     
DELAWARE	     HASKELL		 LE FLORE	     
MCINTOSH	     MAYES		 MUSKOGEE	     
NOWATA		     OKMULGEE		 OSAGE		     
ROGERS		     SEQUOYAH		 TULSA		     
WAGONER 	     WASHINGTON 	 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 463

VALID 261030Z - 261140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..MOSIER..06/26/24

ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...ICT...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 463 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-089-101-115-127-129-131-
143-261140-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAXTER		     BENTON		 BOONE		     
CARROLL 	     CRAWFORD		 FRANKLIN	     
JOHNSON 	     LOGAN		 MADISON	     
MARION		     NEWTON		 POPE		     
SCOTT		     SEARCY		 SEBASTIAN	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


KSC001-011-015-017-019-021-037-049-073-099-115-125-133-205-207-
261140-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN		     BOURBON		 BUTLER 	     
CHASE		     CHAUTAUQUA 	 CHEROKEE	     
CRAWFORD	     ELK		 GREENWOOD	     
LABETTE 	     MARION		 MONTGOMERY	     
NEOSHO		     WILSON		 WOODSON	     
$$


MOC009-011-097-109-119-145-209-217-261140-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARRY		     BARTON		 JASPER 	     
LAWRENCE	     MCDONALD		 NEWTON 	     
STONE		     VERNON		 
$$


OKC001-021-035-041-061-079-091-097-101-105-111-113-115-131-135-
143-145-147-261140-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     CHEROKEE		 CRAIG		     
DELAWARE	     HASKELL		 LE FLORE	     
MCINTOSH	     MAYES		 MUSKOGEE	     
NOWATA		     OKMULGEE		 OSAGE		     
OTTAWA		     ROGERS		 SEQUOYAH	     
TULSA		     WAGONER		 WASHINGTON	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Very Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes	Low (<5%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes	Low (<2%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events	Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots	Low (20%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events	Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches	Low (20%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (80%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.