Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 552

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Low	Low

Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL2

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 552
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   100 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Connecticut
     Massachusetts
     Southern New Hampshire
     Northern and Central New Jersey
     Southeast New York
     Eastern Pennsylvania
     Southern Vermont
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 100 PM
     until 800 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will intensify through the
   afternoon, with the strongest storms posing a risk of damaging wind
   gusts and some hail.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
   statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles west of
   Wilmington DE to 30 miles west northwest of Concord NH. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
   cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   27030.

   ...Hart

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Low	Low

   SEL2

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 552
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   100 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Connecticut
     Massachusetts
     Southern New Hampshire
     Northern and Central New Jersey
     Southeast New York
     Eastern Pennsylvania
     Southern Vermont
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 100 PM
     until 800 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will intensify through the
   afternoon, with the strongest storms posing a risk of damaging wind
   gusts and some hail.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
   statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles west of
   Wilmington DE to 30 miles west northwest of Concord NH. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
   cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   27030.

   ...Hart

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Low	Low

Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   WOUS64 KWNS 171656
   WOU2

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 552
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   100 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2024

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 552 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   CTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-180000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0552.240717T1700Z-240718T0000Z/

   CT 
   .    CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   FAIRFIELD            HARTFORD            LITCHFIELD          
   MIDDLESEX            NEW HAVEN           NEW LONDON          
   TOLLAND              WINDHAM             


   MAC003-009-011-013-015-017-027-180000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0552.240717T1700Z-240718T0000Z/

   MA 
   .    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BERKSHIRE            ESSEX               FRANKLIN            
   HAMPDEN              HAMPSHIRE           MIDDLESEX           
   WORCESTER            


   NHC001-005-011-013-015-017-019-180000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0552.240717T1700Z-240718T0000Z/

   NH 
   .    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BELKNAP              CHESHIRE            HILLSBOROUGH        
   MERRIMACK            ROCKINGHAM          STRAFFORD           
   SULLIVAN             


   NJC003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-
   039-041-180000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0552.240717T1700Z-240718T0000Z/

   NJ 
   .    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BERGEN               BURLINGTON          CAMDEN              
   ESSEX                GLOUCESTER          HUDSON              
   HUNTERDON            MERCER              MIDDLESEX           
   MONMOUTH             MORRIS              OCEAN               
   PASSAIC              SOMERSET            SUSSEX              
   UNION                WARREN              


   NYC001-005-021-025-027-039-047-059-061-071-079-081-083-085-087-
   093-095-103-105-111-119-180000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0552.240717T1700Z-240718T0000Z/

   NY 
   .    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ALBANY               BRONX               COLUMBIA            
   DELAWARE             DUTCHESS            GREENE              
   KINGS                NASSAU              NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)
   ORANGE               PUTNAM              QUEENS              
   RENSSELAER           RICHMOND            ROCKLAND            
   SCHENECTADY          SCHOHARIE           SUFFOLK             
   SULLIVAN             ULSTER              WESTCHESTER         


   PAC001-011-017-025-029-037-043-045-069-071-075-077-079-089-091-
   093-095-097-101-103-107-115-127-131-133-180000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0552.240717T1700Z-240718T0000Z/

   PA 
   .    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ADAMS                BERKS               BUCKS               
   CARBON               CHESTER             COLUMBIA            
   DAUPHIN              DELAWARE            LACKAWANNA          
   LANCASTER            LEBANON             LEHIGH              
   LUZERNE              MONROE              MONTGOMERY          
   MONTOUR              NORTHAMPTON         NORTHUMBERLAND      
   PHILADELPHIA         PIKE                SCHUYLKILL          
   SUSQUEHANNA          WAYNE               WYOMING             
   YORK                 


   VTC003-025-180000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0552.240717T1700Z-240718T0000Z/

   VT 
   .    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BENNINGTON           WINDHAM             


   ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-450-451-180000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0552.240717T1700Z-240718T0000Z/

   CW 

   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

   LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY TO THE
   MOUTH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER 

   LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER 

   LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY 

   NEW YORK HARBOR 

   PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS 

   SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY 

   MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM 

   FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM 

   SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
   NM 

   ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...ALY...CTP...BGM...GYX...BOX...

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Low	Low

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

   SAW2 
   WW 552 SEVERE TSTM CT MA NH NJ NY PA VT CW 171700Z - 180000Z
   AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   10W ILG/WILMINGTON DE/ - 30WNW CON/CONCORD NH/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /54S ETX - 22WNW CON/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.

   LAT...LON 39667737 43357374 43357036 39667418

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU2.

Watch 552 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 552

VALID 172325Z - 180040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW BWI
TO 30 E CXY TO 15 NW ABE TO 30 ESE AVP TO 30 SSW MSV TO 20 E MSV
TO 30 NNE POU TO 5 WSW BAF TO 15 WSW ORH TO 30 E LCI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1674

..GLEASON..07/17/24

ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...GYX...PHI...BGM...CTP...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 552 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

CTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-180040-

CT 
.    CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FAIRFIELD	     HARTFORD		 LITCHFIELD	     
MIDDLESEX	     NEW HAVEN		 NEW LONDON	     
TOLLAND 	     WINDHAM		 
$$


MAC009-013-017-027-180040-

MA 
.    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESSEX		     HAMPDEN		 MIDDLESEX	     
WORCESTER	     
$$


NHC015-017-180040-

NH 
.    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ROCKINGHAM	     STRAFFORD		 
$$


NJC003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-
039-041-180040-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERGEN		     BURLINGTON 	 CAMDEN 	     
ESSEX		     GLOUCESTER 	 HUDSON 	     
HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MIDDLESEX	     
MONMOUTH	     MORRIS		 OCEAN		     
PASSAIC 	     SOMERSET		 SUSSEX 	     
UNION		     WARREN		 
$$


NYC005-027-047-059-061-071-079-081-085-087-103-111-119-180040-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRONX		     DUTCHESS		 KINGS		     
NASSAU		     NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)ORANGE 	     
PUTNAM		     QUEENS		 RICHMOND	     
ROCKLAND	     SUFFOLK		 ULSTER 	     
WESTCHESTER	     
$$


PAC011-017-029-045-071-077-091-095-101-180040-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKS		     BUCKS		 CHESTER	     
DELAWARE	     LANCASTER		 LEHIGH 	     
MONTGOMERY	     NORTHAMPTON	 PHILADELPHIA	     
$$


ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-450-451-180040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY TO THE
MOUTH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER 

LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER 

LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY 

NEW YORK HARBOR 

PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS 

SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY 

MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM 

FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM 

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 552

VALID 172155Z - 172240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE BGM
TO 20 NNE MSV TO 20 W PSF TO 25 WSW EEN TO 20 E LEB.

..HALBERT..07/17/24

ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...GYX...PHI...BGM...CTP...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 552 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

CTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-172240-

CT 
.    CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FAIRFIELD	     HARTFORD		 LITCHFIELD	     
MIDDLESEX	     NEW HAVEN		 NEW LONDON	     
TOLLAND 	     WINDHAM		 
$$


MAC003-009-011-013-015-017-027-172240-

MA 
.    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKSHIRE	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
HAMPDEN 	     HAMPSHIRE		 MIDDLESEX	     
WORCESTER	     
$$


NHC001-005-011-013-015-017-019-172240-

NH 
.    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BELKNAP 	     CHESHIRE		 HILLSBOROUGH	     
MERRIMACK	     ROCKINGHAM 	 STRAFFORD	     
SULLIVAN	     
$$


NJC003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-
039-041-172240-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERGEN		     BURLINGTON 	 CAMDEN 	     
ESSEX		     GLOUCESTER 	 HUDSON 	     
HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MIDDLESEX	     
MONMOUTH	     MORRIS		 OCEAN		     
PASSAIC 	     SOMERSET		 SUSSEX 	     
UNION		     WARREN		 
$$


NYC005-021-027-047-059-061-071-079-081-085-087-103-105-111-119-
172240-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRONX		     COLUMBIA		 DUTCHESS	     
KINGS		     NASSAU		 NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)
ORANGE		     PUTNAM		 QUEENS 	     
RICHMOND	     ROCKLAND		 SUFFOLK	     
SULLIVAN	     ULSTER		 WESTCHESTER	     
$$


PAC001-011-017-025-029-037-043-045-069-071-075-077-079-089-091-
093-095-097-101-103-107-115-127-131-133-172240-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     BERKS		 BUCKS		     
CARBON		     CHESTER		 COLUMBIA	     
DAUPHIN 	     DELAWARE		 LACKAWANNA	     
LANCASTER	     LEBANON		 LEHIGH 	     
LUZERNE 	     MONROE		 MONTGOMERY	     
MONTOUR 	     NORTHAMPTON	 NORTHUMBERLAND      
PHILADELPHIA	     PIKE		 SCHUYLKILL	     
SUSQUEHANNA	     WAYNE		 WYOMING	     
YORK		     
$$


ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-450-451-172240-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY TO THE
MOUTH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER 

LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER 

LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY 

NEW YORK HARBOR 

PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS 

SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY 

MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM 

FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM 

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 552

VALID 171900Z - 172040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..HALBERT..07/17/24

ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...GYX...PHI...BGM...CTP...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 552 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

CTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-172040-

CT 
.    CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FAIRFIELD	     HARTFORD		 LITCHFIELD	     
MIDDLESEX	     NEW HAVEN		 NEW LONDON	     
TOLLAND 	     WINDHAM		 
$$


MAC003-009-011-013-015-017-027-172040-

MA 
.    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKSHIRE	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
HAMPDEN 	     HAMPSHIRE		 MIDDLESEX	     
WORCESTER	     
$$


NHC001-005-011-013-015-017-019-172040-

NH 
.    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BELKNAP 	     CHESHIRE		 HILLSBOROUGH	     
MERRIMACK	     ROCKINGHAM 	 STRAFFORD	     
SULLIVAN	     
$$


NJC003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-
039-041-172040-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERGEN		     BURLINGTON 	 CAMDEN 	     
ESSEX		     GLOUCESTER 	 HUDSON 	     
HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MIDDLESEX	     
MONMOUTH	     MORRIS		 OCEAN		     
PASSAIC 	     SOMERSET		 SUSSEX 	     
UNION		     WARREN		 
$$


NYC001-005-021-025-027-039-047-059-061-071-079-081-083-085-087-
093-095-103-105-111-119-172040-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBANY		     BRONX		 COLUMBIA	     
DELAWARE	     DUTCHESS		 GREENE 	     
KINGS		     NASSAU		 NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)
ORANGE		     PUTNAM		 QUEENS 	     
RENSSELAER	     RICHMOND		 ROCKLAND	     
SCHENECTADY	     SCHOHARIE		 SUFFOLK	     
SULLIVAN	     ULSTER		 WESTCHESTER	     
$$


PAC001-011-017-025-029-037-043-045-069-071-075-077-079-089-091-
093-095-097-101-103-107-115-127-131-133-172040-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     BERKS		 BUCKS		     
CARBON		     CHESTER		 COLUMBIA	     
DAUPHIN 	     DELAWARE		 LACKAWANNA	     
LANCASTER	     LEBANON		 LEHIGH 	     
LUZERNE 	     MONROE		 MONTGOMERY	     
MONTOUR 	     NORTHAMPTON	 NORTHUMBERLAND      
PHILADELPHIA	     PIKE		 SCHUYLKILL	     
SUSQUEHANNA	     WAYNE		 WYOMING	     
YORK		     
$$


VTC003-025-172040-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENNINGTON	     WINDHAM		 
$$


ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-450-451-172040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY TO THE
MOUTH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER 

LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER 

LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY 

NEW YORK HARBOR 

PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS 

SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY 

MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM 

FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM 

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Low	Very Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
High	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Low	Low

Note: Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes	Low (10%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes	Low (<2%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events	High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots	Low (20%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events	Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches	Low (10%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (90%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.