Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 548
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Central Maryland
New Jersey
Southeast New York
Eastern Pennsylvania
Northeast Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop
this afternoon in a hot and humid air mass. Sufficiently strong
westerly flow aloft will promote a risk of locally damaging wind
gusts in the strongest cells.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west southwest
of Patuxent River MD to 55 miles east northeast of Wilkesbarre PA.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 546...WW 547...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 548 SEVERE TSTM DC DE MD NJ NY PA VA CW 161935Z - 170200Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15WSW NHK/PATUXENT RIVER MD/ - 55ENE AVP/WILKESBARRE PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /43SSE DCA - 35NNW SAX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 38187787 41627599 41627348 38187548
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 548 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 548
VALID 170040Z - 170140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S HGR TO
20 SE CXY TO 20 E ABE TO 20 SE POU TO 30 ENE POU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1662
..MOORE..07/17/24
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...OKX...BGM...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 548
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-170140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-170140-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-
510-170140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES FREDERICK HARFORD
HOWARD KENT MONTGOMERY
PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
031-033-035-039-170140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BERGEN BURLINGTON
CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND
ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON
HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX
MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN
PASSAIC SALEM SOMERSET
UNION
$$
NYC005-047-059-061-081-085-087-119-170140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRONX KINGS NASSAU
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) QUEENS RICHMOND
ROCKLAND WESTCHESTER
$$
PAC017-029-045-071-091-101-133-170140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCKS CHESTER DELAWARE
LANCASTER MONTGOMERY PHILADELPHIA
YORK
$$
VAC013-047-059-061-099-107-113-137-153-157-177-179-510-600-610-
630-683-685-170140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARLINGTON CULPEPER FAIRFAX
FAUQUIER KING GEORGE LOUDOUN
MADISON ORANGE PRINCE WILLIAM
RAPPAHANNOCK SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH
FREDERICKSBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
$$
ANZ338-430-431-530-531-532-533-535-536-538-539-540-541-542-
170140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW YORK HARBOR
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 548
VALID 162330Z - 170040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W CXY TO
25 NNE ABE TO 15 NNW POU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1659
..MOORE..07/16/24
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...OKX...BGM...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 548
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-170040-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-170040-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-
510-170040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES FREDERICK HARFORD
HOWARD KENT MONTGOMERY
PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
031-033-035-037-039-041-170040-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BERGEN BURLINGTON
CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND
ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON
HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX
MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN
PASSAIC SALEM SOMERSET
SUSSEX UNION WARREN
$$
NYC005-047-059-061-071-079-081-085-087-119-170040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRONX KINGS NASSAU
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) ORANGE PUTNAM
QUEENS RICHMOND ROCKLAND
WESTCHESTER
$$
PAC001-011-017-029-043-045-071-075-077-091-095-101-133-170040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BERKS BUCKS
CHESTER DAUPHIN DELAWARE
LANCASTER LEBANON LEHIGH
MONTGOMERY NORTHAMPTON PHILADELPHIA
YORK
$$
VAC013-047-059-061-099-107-113-137-153-157-177-179-510-600-610-
630-683-685-170040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARLINGTON CULPEPER FAIRFAX
FAUQUIER KING GEORGE LOUDOUN
MADISON ORANGE PRINCE WILLIAM
RAPPAHANNOCK SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH
FREDERICKSBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
$$
ANZ338-430-431-530-531-532-533-535-536-538-539-540-541-542-
170040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW YORK HARBOR
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.